The issue here comes down to the lack of Jarrett Allen and the dominance of Embiid. Additionally, neither Maxey or Harden are exactly defensive stalwarts on the perimeter to defend Garland and Mitchell and their minutes have been replaced with Shake Milton, Furkan Korkmaz, and De’Anthony Melton who are not the “best” defenders but can provide some resistance. In this specific matchup, not having Allen will prove costly to the Cavaliers. Overall, his point differential is +9.2, the third-best mark for the Cavaliers (Love is notably second-best with +12.2), and his absence is felt. He is instrumental to both their offense and their defense.Īlthough he’s a negative in terms of offensive point differential, he has incredible chemistry with Mobley and it allows the Cavaliers to effectively play a two-big lineup. The Cavs are 1-3 without Allen and are 10-20 without him over the last two seasons. They’ve been exceptional this season however, the absence of Allen cannot be overstated. Notably, the Cavaliers are second in Adjusted Net Rating with a top 6 Adjusted Offense and a top 3 Adjusted Defense. However, they’ve defended their home court well and are 8-1 at home. The Cavaliers started the season on a torrid pace but are just 5-5 over their last 10 games. They’ve also listed Lamar Stevens (illness) as questionable. The Cleveland Cavaliers have already ruled out a number of players for this game including big man Jarrett Allen and Kevin Love. Couple this with 5, 5, and 10 assists games against Mobley and his over 4.5 assists (+125 DraftKings) is a must bet. His assists spike without Maxey and Harden and he’s exceeded 4.5 assists in 8/9 without both Maxey and Harden over the last two seasons. In three career games vs the Cavaliers with Mobley, Embiid has averaged 32.3 points, 13.3 rebounds, and 6.7 assists which includes one triple-double. He has also found success against Evan Mobley. He holds a +7.6 point differential and he is a force on both sides of the floor. However, this two-week mark is consistent with the Sixers’ full-season performance - Philadelphia has allowed the third-fewest points per 100 possessions at 109.3, per Cleaning the Glass.Įmbiid is critical for this team’s long-term success. This is a bit skewed due to the teams it has played during this stretch, with the Brooklyn Nets (8th) being the only team in the top 15 in Adjusted Offensive Rating. Philly has allowed just 106.5 points per 100 possessions. Over the last two weeks, Philly has struggled a bit offensively but is 5-2 during that span due to its defense. Unfortunately, they are still without Tyrese Maxey and James Harden for tonight’s contest, but the team has performed well without both of their top guards. The Philadelphia 76ers recently returned Embiid and he torched the Hawks for 30 points, eight rebounds and seven assists in a well-rounded effort. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NBA odds, track your bets and follow all of our experts’ picks.
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